Last Chance to Enter Our General Election Contest!

So you think you’re a political prognosticator, eh? A budding Charlie Cook? You say you’ve been crunching early voting numbers in Garrett County and can actually make sense of them? Then you’ll want to enter Maryland Matters’ general election contest.

It’s simple — it’s fun! And the lucky winner will be treated to lunch with Maryland Matters Editor Josh Kurtz (we hope this is not a disincentive to enter).

Here’s how you play: Answer the questions below. Cut and paste. Email your answers to [email protected] Please also let us know how to reach you by phone. Entries must be received by high noon on Election Day. One entry per customer, please. Here we go:

A. Who will win the gubernatorial election?

  1. Larry Hogan (R)
  2. Ben Jealous (D)

B. What will the margin of victory be?

  1. 0-2 points
  2. 3-5 points
  3. 6-10 points
  4. 11-15 points
  5. 16 points or more

C. How many jurisdictions will Jealous win?

D. What candidate for statewide office (governor, comptroller, attorney general, U.S. Senate) will win the most raw votes? You must enter the candidate’s name.

E. Who will be elected Anne Arundel County executive?

  1. Incumbent Steve Schuh (R)
  2. Steuart Pittman (D)

F. What will the margin of victory be?

  1. 0-2 points
  2. 3-5 points
  3. 6-10 points
  4. 11-15 points
  5. 16 points or more

G. Who will be elected Baltimore County executive?

  1. Al Redmer (R)
  2. Johnny Olszewski (D)

H. What will the margin of victory be?

  1. 0-2 points
  2. 3-5 points
  3. 6-10 points
  4. 11-15 points
  5. 16 points or more

I. Who will be elected Frederick County executive?

  1. Kathy Afzali (R)
  2. Incumbent Jan Gardner (D)

J. What will the margin of victory be?

  1. 0-2 points
  2. 3-5 points
  3. 6-10 points
  4. 11-15 points
  5. 16 points or more

K. Who will be elected Howard County executive?

  1. Incumbent Allan Kittleman (R)
  2. Calvin Ball (D)

L. What will the margin of victory be?

  1. 0-2 points
  2. 3-5 points
  3. 6-10 points
  4. 11-15 points
  5. 16 points or more

M. Who will be elected Montgomery County executive?

  1. Robin Ficker (R)
  2. Marc Elrich (D)
  3. Nancy Floreen (I)

N. Who will win the 1st congressional district race?

  1. Incumbent Andy Harris (R)
  2. Jesse Colvin (D)

O. What will the margin of victory be?

  1. 0-2 points
  2. 3-5 points
  3. 6-10 points
  4. 11-15 points
  5. 16 points or more

P. Who will win the 6th congressional district race?

  1. Amie Hoeber (R)
  2. David Trone (D)

Q. What will the margin of victory be?

  1. 0-2 points
  2. 3-5 points
  3. 6-10 points
  4. 11-15 points
  5. 16 points or more

R. Democratic congressional incumbents – Dutch Ruppersberger, John Sarbanes, Anthony Brown, Steny Hoyer, Elijah Cummings and Jamie Raskin – are all favored to win reelection. Who will have the biggest victory margin?

S. Gov. Larry Hogan and Maryland Republicans are seeking to flip five state Senate seats now held by Democrats so it will be harder for Democrats to override Hogan’s vetoes, assuming he wins a second term, and are targeting about seven or eight districts. Democrats also have a longshot chance of flipping a state Senate seat or two. How many state Senate seats will Republicans pick up, if any?

T. Which, if any, of these vulnerable Democratic state senators will lose:

  1. Ron Young of Frederick County
  2. Kathy Klausmeier of Baltimore County
  3. Jim Mathias of the Lower Shore

U. Predict the order of finish among the six candidates for House of Delegates in Baltimore County’s District 8:

  1. Joe Boteler (R)
  2. Del. Joe Cluster (R)
  3. Joe Norman (R)
  4. Harry Bhandari (D)
  5. Del. Eric Bromwell (D)
  6. Carl Jackson (D)

First tie-breaker: Predict the vote percentages of the candidates for Montgomery County executive:

Robin Ficker _____________

Marc Elrich _______________

Nancy Floreen ______________

Second tie-breaker: Predict the vote percentages for the state Senate candidates in District 28, in Charles County:

Bill Dotson (R) _________________

Arthur Ellis (D) __________________

Remember to email your answers to [email protected] And good luck!

Josh Kurtz
Co-founder and Editor Josh Kurtz is the leading chronicler of Maryland politics and government. He began covering the State House in 1995 for The Gazette newspapers, and has been writing about state and local politics ever since. He later became an editor at Roll Call, the Capitol Hill newspaper, and spent eight years at E&E News, an online subscription-only publisher of news websites covering energy and environmental issues. For seven of those years, he led a staff of 20 reporters at E&E Daily, which covers energy and environmental policy on Capitol Hill and in national politics. For 6 1/2 years he wrote a weekly column on state politics for Center Maryland and has written for several other Maryland publications as well. Kurtz has given speeches and appeared on TV and radio shows about Maryland politics through the years.

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